The Gentlemen Revolutionaries

Dedicated to the Preservation of the First Amendment

Location: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Super long book post.

I’ve been thinking about Howard Dean’s comments about the war last week. For those of you that may not know he said “"The idea that we're going to win the war in Iraq is just plain wrong." Not surprising coming from Dean, but interesting none the less. Dean is an interesting character. I personally thought he was never suited to be President and think he played a spoiler role for many more qualified democrats than Kerry. Yet he convinced many people, who he was ultimately simply hurting, that he was the best man for the job. The result is that the party felt bad for him, overestimated his popularity and fund raising capabilities and made him head of the party. Now the Democrats are lead by a man who does not have the party’s best interest in his heart but is instead motivated by his own desire to eventually become President (a similar set of circumstances is leading the Republicans now as well, except that the person causing them harm already is President). Both parties, but especially the Democrats have been hijacked by their extremes, the Republicans were more so for a period of time by the center has fought back and regained a large amount of control. The moderate Democrats have yet to make a stand against those that are acting against their interests.

Dean, however, is a representation of something much bigger, a problem much deeper, than simply the party becoming more extreme. This can be seen in the fact that the congressional delegation (those that should really be controlling the party when there is not a party representative in the White House) cannot keep Dean under control and in line with what will help them get reelected. The Democratic Party structure is crumbling and this will have a very large impact on the way the 08 election is run and its results.

The current reaction of some Democrats to their current state of affairs is interesting and I believe that many are approaching it from a completely incorrect perspective. Democrats are failing to take the first step towards regaining power. They first must admit that the reason they are failing is due to themselves. It isn’t the Republican’s fault, it isn’t “stupid rednecks” fault, it is their own fault. The only thing that can get in the way of your own success is yourself. You cannot blame others for your own short comings. Let us say that the Republicans did rig Ohio in the 2004 election (which I strongly believe they did not). In that case, are the Republicans responsible for cheating? Of course! Are they responsible for the Democrats losing? No! If the Democrats would have run a quality campaign they would still have managed to win. The Democrats’ message simply is not working. The public knows the war is wrong; they used to know the economy was bad (it isn’t anymore and it was never Bush’s fault); they know everything the Democrats are telling them, however, they are not buying the part of the story where the Democrats say they can change things. To be frank, I am not buying that part of the story either. I have yet to hear a convincing argument about how they will change things. Clearly they will approach things differently than the Republicans will but different is not necessarily better. They will still be for big government and irresponsible spending just like Bush

There is a great juncture for the Democrats. It is their choice of which direction they choose to go. It is not a simple choice. The decision will be made if they depending on the result of the 2008 election. Another loss or two like 2000 and 2004 the party will disintegrate. The middle will break and join with moderate republicans to form a truly powerfully third party (except it will become a dominate force, not a third party like we know them now) and the far left will take the remnants of the party, fall by the wayside and will join various other special interest parties (though this may seem to be doom and gloom to those on the left, it is anything but, the movement to these parties will increase overall political competition, additionally if this truly does occur, the converse will be occurring in the Republican party, however this is all driven by the difficulties that the Democrats are having). Though this may seem to be unlikely one must remember that the current static state of the parties is uncommon, to say the least.

This may seem like a lot, and you may very well not believe it but, especially if you are a Democrat, I encourage you to think about it. Realize what is happening to the party by allowing the extremes set the agenda. There are many quality candidates in for 05, encourage them to run! Pick someone that you agree with but who will not turn off the middle. Be Smart and win.


Anonymous Dax said...

"they used to know the economy was bad (it isn’t anymore and it was never Bush’s fault"

I agree with this, judging from all the Christmas shoppers I've seen in town.

Thanks for taking the time to write that. It put Dean's current role in perspective for me.

10:40 PM  

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